Induced seismicity and geothermal energy production in the Salton Sea Geothermal Field, California

查看详情 浏览次数:1
中文题名加利福尼亚州索尔顿海地热田的诱发地震和地热能生产
作者Malcolm C. A. White
作者单位Department of Earth, Atmospheric and Planetary Sciences, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, 02139, USA
刊名Scientific Reports
2025
15
摘要
We analyze the relationship between geothermal energy production and seismic hazards in the Salton Sea Geothermal Field (SSGF) between 1972 and 2022. A clear increase in seismic activity accompanies geothermal energy production and is greatest to the east of the Brawley fault, where the amount of injection exceeds the amount of production. We estimate that, whereas there was a 2% chance of a M6.07 earthquake nucleating inside the SSGF within a fifty-year period prior to energy production (pre-production), there is an equal probability that a M6.70 earthquake nucleates there in a fifty-year period during which historically average energy production conditions persist (syn-production). Similarly, we estimate a 2% chance of a M7.15 and M6.92 occurring in the broader Brawley Seismic Zone (excluding the SSGF) within a fifty-year period during the pre- and syn-production eras, respectively. We find that linear regression models fail to reliably forecast the background seismicity rate as a function of fluid production and injection.

@ 2023 版权所有 中国地质图书馆 (中国地质调查局地学文献中心)

京ICP备 05064591号 京公网安备11010802017129号

建议浏览器: 火狐、谷歌、微软 Edge、不支持 IE