Potential for Continental Scientific Drilling to Inform Fault Mechanics and Earthquake Science

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中文题名大陆科学钻探项目有望为断层力学和地震科学提供重要信息
作者Elizabeth S. Cochran1;Natalia Zakharova2;Brett Carpenter3;Folarin Kolawole4;Nicholas W. Hayman5;Hiroki Sone6;Douglas R. Schmitt7;Peter Eichhubl8;William Ellsworth9;Yves Guglielmi10;Stephen Hickman1;Harold J. Tobin11
作者单位1U.S. Geological Survey, Earthquake Science Center;2Department of Earth and Atmospheric Sciences, Central Michigan University;3School of Geosciences, Sarkeys Energy Center, The University of Oklahoma;4Department of Earth and Environmental Sciences, Columbia University;5Oklahoma Geological Survey, Sarkeys Energy Center, The University of Oklahoma;6Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, University of Wisconsin-Madison;7Department of Earth, Atmospheric, and Planetary Sciences, Purdue University;8Jackson School of Geoscience, University of Texas;9Department of Geophysics, Stanford University;10Earth and Environment Sciences Area, Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory;11College of the Environment, University of Washington
刊名Seismica
2025
4
No.2
摘要
Our understanding of fault mechanics and earthquake processes remains limited, largely due to minimal direct observations near active faults at seismogenic depths. This lack of data restricts our ability to accurately assess and mitigate both natural and human-induced seismic hazards. However, recent advancements in drilling capabilities and downhole sensing technologies offer an opportunity: the ability to observe the physical conditions within a volume near active fault zones. In this contribution, we highlight how scientific drilling can provide access to the near-fault environment, enabling measurements of the stress, temperature, fluid pressure, and rock properties at depths where ruptures initiate, propagate, and arrest. These observations are essential to refine models of earthquake nucleation and dynamic rupture, bridging gaps between laboratory experiments, numerical simulations, and surface observations. These insights can advance fundamental understanding in earthquake science but also support the development of more effective seismic hazard assessments and risk mitigation strategies.

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