A Monte Carlo-based approach for the evaluation of Mexico's geothermal potential

查看详情 浏览次数:1
中文题名基于蒙特卡洛的墨西哥地热潜力评估方法
作者A. Palacios
作者单位Universidad de Las Américas Puebla, Departamento de Ingeniería Química, Alimentos y Ambiental, Puebla, 72810, Mexico
刊名Renewable Energy
2024
223
摘要
Geothermal energy is one of the largest renewable energy sources available in Mexico and is the most important non-conventional renewable energy source utilised in this country. It is estimated that Mexico has geothermal reserves of approximately 8000 MWe, which can be implemented for the generation of green hydrogen. The paper focuses on the geothermal energy potential of high-enthalpy resources dominantly found South and Southeast Mexico, through investigations of 12 hot springs, with temperature depths as high as 400 °C in some areas. The utilization of suitable power production equations is further refined using the Monte Carlo Method to optimize the numerical findings of the power potential. Therefore, the Visual Basic Application (VBA) in Microsoft Excel is used through the Visual Basic Editor (VBE) function to code the Volumetric Method Equations. Furthermore, 20,000 iterations are then simulated to produce the minimum and maximum power potential/capacity (MWe), from which 10 % and 90 % confidence intervals are then determined. The study calculates that, considering a production lifetime range of 25 years, a total of 147.57 MWe of geothermal power capacity could be generated across all 12 hot springs in Mexico.

@ 2023 版权所有 中国地质图书馆 (中国地质调查局地学文献中心)

京ICP备 05064591号 京公网安备11010802017129号

建议浏览器: 火狐、谷歌、微软 Edge、不支持 IE