Paleoceanographic changes across OAE 2 inferred from resilient foraminifera and XRF data at southern high latitudes (IODP Sites U1513 and U1516, Mentelle Basin, SW Australia)

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中文题名根据南部高纬度地区弹性有孔虫和XRF数据推断OAE 2的古海洋学变化(澳大利亚西南部曼泰勒盆地IODP 站点U1513和U1516)
作者Giulia Amaglio
作者单位Dipartimento di Scienze della Terra “Ardito Desio”, Università degli Studi di Milano, via Mangiagalli 34, I-20133 Milano, Italy
刊名Palaeogeography, Palaeoclimatology, Palaeoecology
2024
657
摘要
In recent years, due to urbanization and human activities, groundwater overexploitation has become increasingly severe, resulting in some degrees of land subsidence and, consequently, causing a series of geological disasters and other environmental issues. Therefore, large-scale and high-precision land subsidence prediction is of great importance for the prevention and control of geological disasters. However, the existing prediction models and methods ignore the effects of the spatiotemporal non-stationary relationships between the influencing factors and the accumulated land subsidence, causing the poor accuracy of the predicted land subsidence results. In this context, a Geographically and Temporally Weighted Regression combined with the Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM)-multivariable and Attention Mechanism (AM) (GTWR-LSTMm-AM) was proposed to more accurately predict the deformation of time series land subsidence in this study. The small baseline subset-interferometric synthetic aperture radar (SBAS-InSAR) was used to reveal the temporal deformation information of Zhengzhou's main urban area, then the GTWR model was used to assess the spatiotemporal non-stationarity relationships between the accumulated land subsidence and its influencing factors monthly groundwater stability level, monthly precipitation and Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) data, and to determine the corresponding weight matrix. In addition, we introduced an LSTM model with AM to extract key information from the time-series land subsidence data and adjusted the dynamic weights of the three selected influencing factors to predict the land subsidence in Zhengzhou's main urban area. The prediction accuracy [Math Processing Error] of the GTWR-LSTMm-AM model reaches 0.972, which is higher than 0.929 of the LSTMm model. The prediction accuracy RMSE is less than 3 mm and reaches 2.403 mm. In addition, we determined the importance of the impact factor on the subsidence results by randomly interrupting the impact factor time series, disclosuring that the monthly groundwater level contributed the most to the land subsidence in Zhengzhou's main urban area.

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