Predicting rate of penetration (ROP) based on a deep learning approach: A case study of an enhanced geothermal system in Pohang, South Korea

查看详情 浏览次数:1
中文题名基于深度学习方法的渗透率预测(ROP):以韩国浦项增强型地热系统为例
作者Wanhyuk Seo
作者单位School of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Yonsei University, Seoul, 03722, Republic of Korea
刊名Earth Science Informatics
2023
摘要
Drilling optimization is essential in constructing an enhanced geothermal system (EGS) and can be facilitated through predicting the rate of penetration (ROP). The ROP evolution along the depth was forecasted by considering the current and previous ROP values as input to a gated recurrent unit (GRU)-based deep learning model. Drilling data was obtained from two geothermal wells in Pohang, South Korea. Multiple data configurations for training and testing were designed from both wells. The proximity of the training section to the target results in improved accuracy in prediction (MAPE smaller than ~ 3%). Furthermore, larger depth spans of ROPs used for training resulted in better prediction outcomes. The model trained with the entire dataset from an adjacent well exhibited well-predicted ROP values for a new drilling hole (MAPE smaller than 5–10%). From the multiple-step forecasting analysis, the error tended to sharply increase as the number of predicted ROP values increased despite a large number of the input sequence (MAPE larger than 20%). Incorporating other drilling data besides ROP evolution did not improve the prediction. By predicting ROP evolution along the depth, the GRU-based model can assist operators in optimizing drilling processes and preparing for upcoming scenarios. The model can serve as a valuable tool for enhancing drilling efficiency and effectively managing operational uncertainties.

@ 2023 版权所有 中国地质图书馆 (中国地质调查局地学文献中心)

京ICP备 05064591号 京公网安备11010802017129号

建议浏览器: 火狐、谷歌、微软 Edge、不支持 IE