Uncertainty quantification and optimization method applied to time-continuous geothermal energy extraction摘要
Uncertainties in static and dynamic subsurface parameters are involved in geothermal field modeling. The quantification of such uncertainties is important to guide field-development alternatives and decision-making. This work presents a novel method for estimating thermal recovery and produced-enthalpy rates, combined with uncertainty quantification and optimization. We use time-continuous, multi-objective uncertainty quantification for geothermal recovery by water re-injection. The uncertainty ranges were determined using a database of 135 geothermal fields. Thermal recovery and produced-enthalpy rates are then evaluated as functions of dimensionless uncertainty parameters. Using the proposed method, a set of 25 geothermal fields are analyzed to determine optimal well spacing. This method quantifies time-continuous uncertainty and global sensitivity for geothermal field modeling undergoing re-injection when detailed subsurface data are not available.
|
@ 2023 版权所有 中国地质图书馆 (中国地质调查局地学文献中心)
京ICP备 05064591号 京公网安备11010802017129号
建议浏览器: 火狐、谷歌、微软 Edge、不支持 IE